Assessing U.S. State-Building Initiatives in Northeastern Syria – New Lines Institute for Strategy and Policy [Report]

The mission is entering a transitional phase. The U.S. has reduced its presence from 2,000 to 500 troops in early 2025, as Washington normalizes relations with the new Syrian government. Military bases in Deir ez-Zor province are closing with sites in Raqqah and Hasakah set to follow. Evaluating the SDF’s ability to sustain security and governance without continued U.S. support is critical, particularly amid plans to integrate the SDF into a reconstituted Syrian Army.